The best-positioned MLB teams to clinch postseason berths this September are the Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox, Detroit Tigers, Houston Astros, Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets, Chicago Cubs, and San Diego Padres, all currently holding 90–99% playoff probabilities according to recent forecasts.
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Most Likely AL Playoff Clinchers
- Yankees, Blue Jays, Red Sox: Each enjoys over a 95% chance for the postseason, buoyed by strong divisional performance and key September matchups.
- Detroit Tigers, Houston Astros: Both have been consistent and boast similarly high playoff odds, with Astros’ roster returning to health at a crucial moment.
National League Leaders
- Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs, San Diego Padres: All five teams have pulled ahead of the pack and remain almost certain to clinch, with the Dodgers and Brewers likely to earn a first-round bye thanks to top records.
Strong Wild Card Contenders
- New York Mets: Currently controlling the third and final NL Wild Card, with a sizable lead and favorable September matchups.
- Seattle Mariners: Near a 75–88% probability; pivotal series against Astros and Rangers will determine whether they secure a Wild Card or even challenge for the division title.
September Schedule Impact
The playoff picture is expected to mostly hold, with only the Reds, Rangers, and Mariners having realistic—but still slim—hopes of disrupting the standings in crucial series. A dramatic shift is possible, but nearly all current leaders are poised to lock up October berths very soon.
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